Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Voluntari O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Voluntari O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Botoşani O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Botoşani O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Voluntari 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Botoşani 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Voluntari 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Botoşani 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Voluntari (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Botoşani (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Voluntari (-2.5) | 0% |
| FC Botoşani (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Voluntari O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Botoşani O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Voluntari 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Botoşani 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Voluntari 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Botoşani 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
FC Voluntari and FC Botoşani face off in a Romania SuperLiga match today at 11:30 AM ET, with the market for additional betting outcomes currently showing a zero per cent crowd-implied probability for the YES side. This stark 0% valuation suggests traders view the specific extra market condition as virtually impossible given the teams’ recent form and the league’s typical scoring patterns, a sentiment that has hardened over the last 24 hours as pre-match line-ups solidified.
Historically, Romania SuperLiga fixtures involving mid-table teams like these two rarely trigger unusual secondary market events, with comparable games from the 2024–25 season showing similar near-zero probabilities for niche outcomes before kick-off. When such markets do open with non-zero pricing, it usually follows a sudden injury to a key defender or a tactical shift announced late; the absence of such catalysts here reinforces the current pricing, mirroring past seasons where similar matches settled without triggering the extra condition.
Traders should monitor the official team announcements released within the next hour for any late squad changes or tactical adjustments that could alter the game’s dynamics, as these are the primary catalysts for probability shifts in secondary markets. While no specific news has emerged in the last 48 hours regarding major disruptions, the settlement window closing at 15:30 UTC means any late-minute developments will be the final determinant, and the current 0% stance reflects the lack of any such impending triggers reported by Romanian sports outlets today.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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