CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association

Platform comparison

Market context

Peru Liga 1’s Clausura opener at Estadio Los Chankas has already concluded, with second-placed Los Chankas securing a 1–0 victory over Sport Boys Association in Sunday’s 12:00 kick-off[1][9]. The 100% YES crowd-implied probability reflects this settled outcome, as the match result is no longer uncertain and the settlement window closes shortly after the final whistle was recorded.

Historically, home dominance in this fixture aligns with the current pricing: Los Chankas hold a 61% algorithmic win probability and have won two of their four head-to-head meetings, with the other two ending in draws[2][6]. Comparable Clausura openers in recent seasons show home teams averaging a 58% win rate when playing at altitude, reinforcing how bookmakers’ 51–60% implied probabilities for Los Chankas consistently materialise into actual victories[1][2].

Traders should monitor the official match report on ESPN for final goal confirmation and any post-match disciplinary announcements that could affect future league standings[13]. While the game is settled, upcoming fixtures depend on this result’s impact on continental qualification spots for Los Chankas and relegation risk for Sport Boys, making the post-match press conference and league table update the only relevant catalysts now[3]. No further betting action is possible, as the event has passed and the market is resolved.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.