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SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $141K Liquidity: $241K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
SK Brann O/U 0.5100%
Vålerenga Fotball O/U 0.5100%
Vålerenga Fotball O/U 1.5100%
Vålerenga Fotball O/U 2.5100%
Vålerenga Fotball 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Vålerenga Fotball 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score99%
SK Brann O/U 1.572%
O/U 4.567%
Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)51%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
SK Brann O/U 2.550%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
SK Brann 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
SK Brann 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Vålerenga Fotball 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Vålerenga Fotball 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 5.526%
Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)10%
SK Brann (-1.5)1%
SK Brann (-2.5)0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
SK Brann 1st Half O/U 0.50%
SK Brann 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

SK Brann’s recent edge over Vålerenga is well established, with Brann winning 4-2 away in May 2025 and 3-2 in Bergen in September 2025. Those results show that this pairing has tended to produce clear, goal-heavy outcomes rather than a dead-even contest, which helps explain why a **1% YES** price on a generic “more markets” proposition is reading as a longshot rather than a base case.[1][3]

For traders, the key short-term catalysts are the match-day team sheets, any late injury or suspension news, and whether the market definition of “more markets” is tied to an unusually specific sub-event list rather than standard match props. Sports Mole’s pre-match model for the May 2025 meeting had Brann as the likelier winner at 46.73%, with Vålerenga at 30.99% and the draw at 22.3%, reinforcing that the fixture has historically been priceable but not one-sided; if there has been no fresh squad or scheduling news in the last 24-48 hours, the current 1% signal is likely being driven more by market structure than by a new football development.[3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page reviews SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports