Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 84% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 83% |
| Mavericks O/U 105.5 | 82% |
| O/U 224.5 | 80% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 78% |
| O/U 227.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 73% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 73% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 71% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 71% |
| O/U 230.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 231.5 | 67% |
| O/U 232.5 | 66% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5 | 66% |
| Mavericks O/U 111.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| O/U 233.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 62% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 66.5 | 62% |
| O/U 234.5 | 61% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| O/U 235.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 58% |
| O/U 236.5 | 57% |
| O/U 237.5 | 56% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| O/U 238.5 | 54% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 54% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 53% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 239.5 | 52% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 51% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 51% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 133.5 | 50% |
| O/U 240.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 46% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 44% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| O/U 243.5 | 42% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 40% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 61.5 | 40% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 37% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 246.5 | 36% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 35% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Pacers O/U 128.5 | 33% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Mavericks O/U 121.5 | 32% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 31% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | 30% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| O/U 249.5 | 28% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5 | 27% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 26% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.5 | 25% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Mavericks O/U 125.5 | 24% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 22% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
Market context
The Mavericks vs. Pacers prediction market currently prices this outcome at 84% YES. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is po…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $254K.
Methodology
We track Mavericks vs. Pacers across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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