New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

New England Revolution and Toronto FC are scheduled to kick off this evening, and the live market is currently pricing **0% YES** for the “more markets” outcome. That kind of reading usually means the crowd expects no additional settlement on this event beyond the main game result, rather than any late surprise in the market structure itself, so the key shift over the last 24–48 hours is simply that the probability has stayed pinned at the floor as the match has approached.[3][1]

Historical results point to a relatively restrained framing: New England beat Toronto 2-0 in their most recent cited meeting, while the current boxscore setup shows a low total of 2.5 goals, which is consistent with a market leaning towards a standard, rather than volatile, MLS night.[2][3] In comparable cases, a 0% implied price tends to persist when the underlying fixture is already locked in and there is no fresh administrative change, postponement risk, or added prop that would alter settlement mechanics.[1][3]

For traders, the main catalysts are the pre-match line-up announcements, any late injury or rest news, and confirmation that the fixture still proceeds on its scheduled 7:30 PM ET start.[3][1] The most material dependency is whether official team sheets or match-centre updates introduce a meaningful shift in game state expectations; absent that, there is little in the last-day information flow to challenge the current 0% reading.[1][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

We track New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.