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Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $238K Liquidity: $652K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5100%
Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5100%
Columbus Crew O/U 0.5100%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Inter Miami CF O/U 2.556%
Columbus Crew O/U 1.556%
Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 0.551%
O/U 3.550%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Columbus Crew O/U 2.525%
Inter Miami CF (-1.5)24%
O/U 4.512%
Inter Miami CF (-2.5)5%
O/U 5.52%
Columbus Crew (-1.5)1%
Columbus Crew (-2.5)1%
Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 1.51%

Market context

Inter Miami CF and Columbus Crew met in MLS play with the market sitting at **26% YES** for “more markets”, a level that looks relatively modest for a fixture that has often produced extra in-game angles. The immediate change in the last 24–48 hours is that the match is now effectively live, so the price is no longer just about pre-match reputation but about what the opening team news, tempo and early state of play have actually shown.

The comparable frame is a pair of sides whose meetings have been productive enough to keep prop-style markets relevant. Inter Miami have won six of the last 11 head-to-heads, with Columbus on three wins and two draws, and recent meetings have included scorelines such as 5-1, 3-2 and 2-1.[2][3][18] That pattern matters for “more markets” because a game with a history of goals, cards and late state changes tends to keep secondary markets alive longer than a flat, low-event contest.[2][3]

The main catalysts are squad availability, substitution patterns and any disruption to the match rhythm. ESPN had the fixture listed as Miami v Columbus on 1 August, while MLS match coverage has previously flagged weather delay risk in this pairing, which is relevant because stoppages can change live market opportunities and timing.[1][20] Traders should also watch for any late updates on key attackers or rotation, because both teams have shown enough scoring output in recent matches that one early goal can widen the menu of live markets quickly.[2][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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