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Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Five-platform snapshot of "Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 99% Spread -1.5 87% Volume: $508K Liquidity: $65K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.599%
Spread -1.587%
O/U 7.585%
O/U 8.574%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.563%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
Spread -2.550%
O/U 6.550%
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians8%
Spread -1.54%
NRFI0%
Spread -5.50%
O/U 10.50%
Spread -3.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, texas rangers vs. cleveland guardians stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 1 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 100% for "Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians".

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $508K.

Methodology

This page reviews Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports