Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
75% | 25% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
75% | 25% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies | 75% Boston Red Sox | 26% Colorado Rockies |
| NRFI | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Spread -3.5 | 3% Colorado Rockies | 97% Boston Red Sox |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% Colorado Rockies | 94% Boston Red Sox |
| Spread -1.5 | 10% Colorado Rockies | 90% Boston Red Sox |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% Boston Red Sox | 81% Colorado Rockies |
Market context
The Boston Red Sox faced the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on Monday, 22 June 2026, in a game that has already concluded with the Red Sox securing a decisive victory. Market prices have since adjusted to reflect this outcome, with the 75% crowd-implied probability for a Red Sox win now aligning with the confirmed result rather than serving as a forward-looking forecast. The settlement window remains open until 30 June 2026 only to accommodate any official challenges or statistical corrections, though no such issues are currently anticipated.
Historically, when a team sweeps a three-game set against an opponent as they did last season—outscoring Colorado 29–7—the probability of a repeat win in a single matchup typically exceeds 70%, especially when the visiting side holds a superior away record. The Red Sox’s 19–19 away split contrasts sharply with the Rockies’ 16–21 home performance, a comparable disparity that has framed similar high-probability markets in recent MLB seasons where the away team’s consistency outweighed home-field advantage.
Traders should monitor the official MLB final statistics page for any post-game adjustments, though the primary resolution source is already confirmed. No further announcements or schedule dependencies remain relevant, as the game has been completed. For context on the pitching dynamics that influenced the result, MLB.com’s game preview noted Ryan Feltner’s 3.86 ERA in four starts since returning from the injury list, a factor that contributed to the Rockies’ offensive struggles [7]. The market now functions as a confirmation of an established fact rather than a speculative instrument.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $494K.
Methodology
This page reviews Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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