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LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Match Winner 74% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $518K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Match Winner74%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)0%

Market context

Vivo Keyd Stars’ scheduled CBLOL regular-season meeting with Fluxo W7M is the live event in view, and the market’s 0% YES pricing leaves little room for an outcome other than a strong favourite or an information gap. The immediate read has been shaped by a lopsided recent head-to-head: Vivo Keyd Stars beat Fluxo W7M 2-0 in April, and multiple match databases also list a 3-0 historical edge across prior meetings.[1][11][13]

That sort of record matters because BO3 League of Legends markets tend to track matchup repeatability more than one-off upset risk, especially when one side has already shown the ability to close cleanly in straight games.[1][9][13] The current price therefore looks more like an expression of confidence in Vivo Keyd Stars’ series edge than a broad view of CBLOL form across the league; if there has been no fresh squad or patch information, the historical sample remains the main frame for reading the market.[1][11]

For traders, the key catalysts are whether the match starts on schedule, whether the official CBLOL fixture remains unchanged, and whether any late roster, pause, or postponement notice appears before the settlement window closes.[2][7][12] Bo3 and Sofascore listings place the fixture around 7–8 August 2026, but live-stat pages also note that tournament data can be absent until the series is actually under way.[2][8] If the match is moved, abandoned, or not completed with a winner, the market’s special settlement rules become more important than pre-match odds.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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