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LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) 100% Volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Team Liquid and Sentinels are set for a best-of-three LCS regular-season meeting, but the market is already priced at **100% YES**, which leaves little room for fresh information unless the fixture status changes. The main near-term variable is whether the series actually starts as scheduled; the market rules make any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days resolve to 50-50, so the practical focus is on confirmation of play rather than pure match odds.

That near-certainty is consistent with the recent head-to-head picture. Team Liquid beat Sentinels 2-1 in the Spring regular season, while Sentinels did take an earlier series 2-1 in the 2026 Lock-In, so the pairing has not been one-sided across the year. Team Liquid’s broader 2026 form has also been stronger in league play, including a four-match win streak noted after the Spring win over Sentinels, which helps explain why the market has no meaningful scepticism left in the price.

For traders, the catalysts are mostly operational: Riot’s final schedule confirmation, any late change to the broadcast window, and whether either team announces roster or substitution adjustments before pick-up. The LCS summer schedule has this match listed for Sunday evening local time, alongside a crowded weekend slate, so delays elsewhere on the broadcast card or venue-side issues are the main reasons this could still shift from a clean series resolution to a rules-based outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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