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LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 63% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 61% Volume: $53K Liquidity: $49K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5)70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors47%
Any Player Penta Kill47%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors47%
Any Player Penta Kill47%
O/U 2.5 Games40%
Game 1 Winner22%
Game 2 Winner21%
Match Winner12%

Market context

Market consensus: 70% chance of lol: shark attack vs su esports (bo3) - tcl play-ins. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Mid bracket round 2 match between Shark Attack and SU Esports in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:30AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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