LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

KT Rolster and Gen.G are scheduled to meet in the LCK Rounds 1-2 BO3, with the market effectively unchanged at a 50% crowd-implied split. The most recent comparable result between the sides was KT’s 2-0 win over Gen.G in January, a reminder that the head-to-head is not as one-sided as Gen.G’s broader reputation suggests. That said, Gen.G’s longer-run profile remains stronger: they have typically carried the better regular-season macro, lane stability and objective control, while KT have been more variable but capable of upsetting elite opponents when their bot side and mid-game skirmishing are firing.

For traders, the key question is whether Gen.G arrive with the expected full-strength roster and no late scheduling issues. Their ceiling depends heavily on the usual core of Kiin, Canyon, Chovy and Ruler, and any change to that line-up would materially alter the price. KT’s path is narrower but clear: if Bdd can keep mid lane even and Aiming/Effort can avoid giving away early dragons and tempo, they can force a close series. The market also sits inside the settlement window for a match originally due on 22 May, so any postponement, venue change or incomplete series would matter just as much as the on-stage performance.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.