LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

Market context

Gen.G and T1 meet again in a best-of-three that has already tightened the market around Gen.G, with the YES line at 61% as traders lean on recent form rather than brand name alone. The underlying result most recently available in the record is Gen.G’s 2–1 win over T1 on 25 July 2025, while the 2026 Round 3-4 standings show Gen.G and T1 close together in the Legend Group, both on 1–1 series records at the time those tables were published.[1][4][9]

The historical frame still matters because this pairing has stayed competitive over a long sample: Leaguepedia lists Gen.G and T1 level on several recent seasons, and third-party head-to-head trackers put Gen.G slightly ahead overall, with 23 wins to T1’s 20 across 43 matches.[2][3] That is consistent with a market that prices Gen.G as the marginal favourite, but not by enough to suggest a mismatch; in series between elite LCK sides, one draft edge or lane swing can move the result quickly, and their recent meetings have repeatedly gone the distance or flipped from one game to the next.[16][18]

For traders watching *now*, the main catalysts are simple: confirmation that the scheduled July 31 start holds, the official starting line-ups, and any late roster or health update that could affect drafting priorities.[5][7][13] The settlement rules also make completion relevant, because a delayed, cancelled, or unfinished series can change the outcome away from a normal win/loss resolution, so pre-match admin risk matters almost as much as competitive form.[13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.