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LoL: Docta Esports vs Maze Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Docta Esports vs Maze Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game Handicap: MAZ (-1.5) vs Docta Esports (+1.5) 100% Game Handicap: MAZ (-2.5) vs Docta Esports (+2.5) 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 91% Odd/Even Total Kills 91% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $540K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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LoL: Docta Esports vs Maze Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: MAZ (-1.5) vs Docta Esports (+1.5)100%
Game Handicap: MAZ (-2.5) vs Docta Esports (+2.5)100%
Odd/Even Total Kills91%
Odd/Even Total Kills91%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor90%
Game 4 Winner50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game 3 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 3.5 Games0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%

Market context

Docta Esports and Maze Gaming were scheduled for their LRS Playoffs lower-bracket meeting on 19 August, and the market’s 0% YES price implies the series is now being treated as effectively settled away from Docta.[1][2] Recent listings show the match as played, with Maze Gaming reported as winning 3-0, which aligns with a zero-probability outcome for Docta and leaves little room for a late reversal unless the result is formally disputed.[2][3]

The wider playoff context matters because both sides reached this round through narrow wins: Docta advanced after beating Volticons, while Maze Gaming came through a tight series against Malvinas Gaming.[1][4] That makes the current price easier to read as a function of completed bracket state rather than live competitive balance; in a double-elimination BO5, once a lower-bracket semifinal is finished, the main remaining risk is administrative rather than sporting.[4][5]

For traders, the key catalyst is confirmation from the tournament or scoreboard sources before the settlement window closes, especially if there is any mismatch between market scheduling and published results.[1][2] The match page and aggregate score pages have already updated to a finished result, so the only realistic dependency now is whether the market resolves on that result as reported or waits for any further official confirmation.[2][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track LoL: Docta Esports vs Maze Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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