Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Dplus KIA Challengers | 100% T1 Academy |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Dplus KIA Challengers | 0% T1 Academy |
| Game 3 Winner | 47% Dplus KIA Challengers | 54% T1 Academy |
| Game 4 Winner | 48% Dplus KIA Challengers | 53% T1 Academy |
| Match Winner | 44% Dplus KIA Challengers | 56% T1 Academy |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
The match has already changed shape in the last few days because these two sides have met in this Asia Masters run, with Dplus KIA Challengers edging T1 Academy 3-2 in a playoff series on 18 June. That result matters for pricing today: it shows the lower-ranked side has already found a way through a long series against T1 Academy, even though the market currently implies no chance of a Dplus win. [1][3][5]
Past meetings between the teams have been competitive rather than one-sided, which is the right frame for a best-of-five. Their head-to-head record listed by EGamersWorld is close, and recent results include both a Dplus 3-2 win in Asia Masters and a T1 Academy 2-0 win in LCK CL earlier in the season, suggesting the gap between them is not large enough to rule out either side in a playoff final. [5]
The main catalyst now is simple: whether the scheduled grand final actually starts and whether both line-ups remain unchanged. Sofascore still lists the match for 21 June at 09:00 UTC, so traders should watch for last-minute schedule updates, roster confirmation, or any delay that could affect settlement if the series is not completed within the market window. [3]
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asi… on Prediction Today
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