LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The LCK Challengers League fixture between Dplus KIA Challengers and Hanwha Life Esports Challengers is scheduled for 25 May at 01:00 ET, with the market settling based on match outcome. The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty that the match will occur as scheduled rather than confidence in either team's victory, given the settlement criteria explicitly excludes cancellations, ties, and delays beyond seven days.

LCK Challengers matches have maintained consistent scheduling reliability through 2024 and early 2025, with cancellations rare and typically announced well in advance when infrastructure or player availability issues arise. The league operates under Riot's established broadcast infrastructure, meaning weather, technical failures, or venue problems are unlikely obstacles. Historical precedent suggests matches in this division proceed on schedule unless explicit organisational announcements precede the fixture date.

Traders should monitor LCK's official schedule updates and Dplus KIA's roster announcements through 24 May, as player illness or last-minute substitutions occasionally trigger postponements in regional competitions. The settlement window closes at 11:00 ET on 25 May, providing a narrow window for match completion given the early morning start time. Any disruption to the broadcast schedule or official delay notification would be the primary catalyst affecting market resolution, though such occurrences remain statistically infrequent for established LCK fixtures.

Methodology

We track LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.