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LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Odd/Even Total Kills 51% Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5) 50% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 50% Any Player Quadra Kill 50% Volume: $152K Liquidity: $878K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
First Blood in Game 4?49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Game Handicap: GAM (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)43%
O/U 3.5 Games41%
Game 4 Winner37%
Game 2 Winner24%
Game 3 Winner23%
O/U 4.5 Games13%
Match Winner7%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%

Market context

DetonatioN FocusMe and GAM Esports are due to meet again in the LCP Group Stage, and the live market has opened at **0% YES**, reflecting a one-sided read on the series rather than a neutral toss-up. Recent match listings and highlight pages show this is an active 2026 LCP fixture, with the series described as taking place on 7 August and scheduled as a best-of-three on several esports tracking pages, so the market is pricing the matchup as a live sporting event rather than a cancellation risk[1][2][3][4].

The historical frame is clear: GAM has dominated the head-to-head. Strafe and Sheep Esports both show GAM winning every recorded meeting in this pairing, including a 2-0 result in their most recent clash on 26 July 2026, while DFM are listed as having taken none of the previous games[4][11][12][17]. That sort of record helps explain why a near-zero crowd view can persist even before a match is played; in these markets, repeated same-side outcomes often compress expectations quickly when one team has already shown a consistent edge in the same split[3][11][15].

For traders, the main watchpoints are simple: confirm the match actually starts on schedule, then watch for any official schedule change, stream delay, or bracket adjustment from the league and broadcast channels. The current listings place the game in LCP Split 3 Round 4 on 7 August at 09:00 UTC, but the settlement rules matter more than the headline time, since an unplayed match or a delay beyond seven days would resolve 50-50 rather than to either team[4][18].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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