LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend face Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Esports World Cup Quarterfinal 2 today, with the 73% crowd-implied probability favouring the Chinese side in a best-of-three. Strafe users mirror this sentiment, allocating 73.3% of votes to Anyone’s Legend and 26.7% to Karmine Corp, confirming a clear consensus on the favourite ahead of the 7:00AM ET start [1].

Historical precedent in EWC play-offs suggests such odds often compress when a non-Asian team enters the bracket, as Karmine Corp is the sole European entrant among eight finalists from China and South Korea [3]. Comparable cases show that underdogs from outside the dominant regions occasionally trigger late probability swings if early game data reveals structural vulnerabilities, though the 73% baseline currently reflects Anyone’s Legend’s consistent group-stage dominance and home-region advantage.

Traders should monitor the live DAZN stream for any pre-match roster announcements or delay notices, as the settlement window closes at 19:30 UTC on 17 July with strict cancellation rules [4]. Key catalysts include the elemental dragon count in Game 3, which could influence secondary markets, and any schedule adjustments if the match extends beyond the seven-day delay threshold [2]. Watch for real-time updates on Strafe or Bo3.gg, where early series predictions have previously shifted within hours of match commencement [1][5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.