Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza | 0% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Marjorie Souza Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, itf sao paulo: giovana schincariol delatorre barbosa vs marjorie souza stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa and Marjorie Souza in the ITF Women Sao Paulo, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 5:30PM…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade ITF Sao Paulo: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa… on Prediction Today
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