Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Portugal’s Group K opener has already delivered a reminder that a strong favourite can still be level at the break: Portugal led through João Neves, yet DR Congo equalised in first-half stoppage time and the match finished 1-1. That makes the current **100% YES** crowd view easy to read as a reflection of the finished result, not a live pricing signal for a future kick-off.[1][2][3]
As a framing case, this is the kind of fixture where the first-half market can hinge on one late action rather than sustained territorial control. Portugal had 79% possession before half-time, but DR Congo still found the decisive leveller at the end of the opening period, which is exactly the sort of outcome that can make a half-time result market look “obvious” only after the event.[2][3] Comparable cases in knockout or group-stage play often show that possession and pre-match reputation are weaker predictors of the half-time score than timing of first goal and stoppage-time exposure.[1][2]
For traders watching the next catalyst, the key dependency is whether the market is being reset around the June 17 World Cup fixture or an already-settled historical outcome. FIFA’s match report and live coverage confirm the game has been played and settled 1-1, so any fresh movement is more likely to come from market mechanics, data updates, or settlement review than from team news.[1][3] If you are monitoring surrounding inputs for future Portugal fixtures, line-ups, injury bulletins and group-stage scheduling remain the main drivers of first-half scoring volatility; for this match itself, the decisive information is already in the record.[1][2]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $944K.
Methodology
This page reviews Portugal vs. DR Congo - Halftime Result across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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