Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
14% | 86% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
14% | 86% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| New Zealand 0 - 2 Egypt | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| New Zealand 3 - 0 Egypt | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt | 4% YES | 97% NO |
Market context
New Zealand and Egypt are scheduled to meet in Vancouver in a World Cup group game, with the market now trading around the live contest rather than the build-up. The latest move in the last day has been shaped by the teams’ opening draws: New Zealand came from an entertaining 2-2 with Iran, while Egypt held Belgium 1-1, a result that has reinforced the view that Egypt can control phases without necessarily producing a lopsided scoreline.[1][3]
That matters for an exact-score market because the most comparable read-throughs point towards tighter outcomes rather than a wide spread of scorelines. One preview expects Egypt to win 0-1 and notes that all three previous meetings between the sides stayed under 2.5 goals, with Egypt also taking the last two head-to-heads by the same 1-0 score.[2] In that context, a 14% crowd-implied chance for a specific scoreline looks consistent with a game where one or two results dominate the pricing rather than a very even distribution across many totals.[2]
The main catalysts now are line-ups, any late team-news, and whether Egypt can convert its stronger opening performance into an early lead, because that would materially shift the exact-score range towards 0-1, 0-2 or 1-2.[1][3] FIFA lists kickoff at 01:00 on 22 June, and the market resolves only on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalties do not count.[7] That makes any pre-match expectation sensitive to how both managers set up their first-choice attacks and whether either side rotates after the opening round.[3][8]
Methodology
This page reviews New Zealand vs. Egypt - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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