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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Mexico vs. England - Player Props" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

Harry Kane: 1+ shots 94% Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 90% Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots 86% Harry Kane: 2+ shots 83% Volume: $491K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Harry Kane: 1+ shots94%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots90%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots86%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots83%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target72%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots70%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots on target67%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots58%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots57%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots55%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots on target55%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots50%
Armando González: 1+ shots on target50%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target50%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target50%
Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves50%
Raúl Rangel: 3+ saves50%
Raúl Rangel: 5+ saves50%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots49%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots49%
Armando González: 2+ shots48%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots48%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots48%
Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots48%
Armando González: 2+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target48%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target48%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target48%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target48%
Jordan Pickford: 2+ saves48%
Raúl Rangel: 2+ saves48%
Raúl Rangel: 4+ saves48%
Armando González: 3+ shots47%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots46%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots42%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists41%
Armando González: 5+ shots39%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals38%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists38%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots37%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target37%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots36%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals + assists36%
Jordan Pickford: 3+ saves34%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals + assists34%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots33%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots33%
Armando González: 1+ shots32%
Armando González: 4+ shots32%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots32%
Ollie Watkins: 5+ shots32%
Jordan Pickford: 4+ saves32%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target31%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists31%
Harry Kane: 5+ shots30%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals + assists30%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists29%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals27%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists27%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals + assists26%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots25%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals24%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target24%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists22%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assists22%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots21%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists21%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists21%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots19%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals + assists19%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target16%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals15%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots on target15%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals14%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots14%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target14%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots12%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists12%
Armando González: 1+ goals11%
Raúl Jiménez: 5+ shots11%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ assists11%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals10%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists10%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals9%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists8%
Julián Quiñones: 5+ shots7%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists7%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target7%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals6%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots4%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists4%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals3%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists3%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assists3%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals2%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals2%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals2%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals2%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots2%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists2%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ assists2%
Armando González: 3+ shots on target2%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target2%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target2%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target2%
Armando González: 2+ goals1%
Armando González: 3+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals1%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals1%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals1%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots1%
Ivan Toney: 5+ shots1%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots1%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals0%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals0%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals0%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals0%

Market context

Market consensus: 94% chance of mexico vs. england - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Mexico vs. England - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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