Morocco vs. Haiti - More Markets

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Market context

Morocco and Haiti meet at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta this Wednesday for their final Group C FIFA World Cup match, with Morocco holding a decisive advantage after a hard-fought win against Scotland and Haiti sitting on zero points from two losses[3][7]. The crowd-implied 1% probability for Haiti to win reflects a stark reality: Haiti has failed to score in their opening two games, while Morocco is projected to win 3-0 by analysts[1][2].

Historically, such lopsided probabilities in World Cup group stages often precede one-sided outcomes, particularly when a team like Haiti has already conceded multiple goals without reply and faces a side with superior defensive organisation[2][5]. Comparable cases from recent tournaments show that teams with zero points and no goals scored rarely overturn deficits against opponents who have already secured progression, making the 1% figure a rational market assessment rather than an outlier[2][5].

Traders should monitor the final team news announcements expected within the next 24 hours, as any unexpected injury to Morocco’s key attackers could shift the odds slightly, though Haiti’s defensive frailties remain the primary dependency[1][3]. Gates open at 3:00 PM ET with the match starting at 6:00 PM ET, and the settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC on 24 June, so all pre-match lineups and broadcast confirmations on BBC will be critical before the final trade[3][4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Morocco vs. Haiti - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.