Haiti vs. Scotland - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET, with settlement dependent on whether additional markets for this fixture will be created. The 4% implied probability reflects strong market conviction that no supplementary betting markets will materialise around this match, despite the game itself being confirmed.

Historical precedent suggests that World Cup qualifiers involving smaller confederations—particularly CONCACAF nations like Haiti—often receive minimal market expansion beyond standard match-outcome offerings. Major sportsbooks typically concentrate liquidity on high-profile fixtures and established betting categories rather than proliferating niche markets for lower-tier matchups. Scotland's participation as a UEFA nation does not substantially shift this pattern; the fixture lacks the commercial weight that drives extended market creation.

The critical variable for traders is whether the match generates sufficient betting interest to justify platform expansion. Injury announcements, team news, or unexpected squad changes in the 48 hours before kickoff could alter perceived match competitiveness and potentially trigger additional market development. Monitoring official FIFA communications and participating federations' statements remains essential, though historical patterns suggest such expansion remains unlikely unless the fixture unexpectedly captures mainstream attention or one team's qualification prospects hinge on the result.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.