Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Germany vs Côte d’Ivoire is now one day away, and the market’s 39% YES price is being set with the match itself, rather than the wider tournament, in view. FIFA lists the Group E fixture for 20 June at 20:00 GMT at BMO Field in Toronto, which translates to 4:00 pm ET, and recent ticketing chatter points to a live secondary market as the event approaches.[3][1][5]

For a **more markets** contract, the best historical read is usually not from outright win probabilities but from similar big-favourite World Cup fixtures where depth, game state and late-team-news shape how many props are offered and how aggressively they are priced. The public preview market also points to Germany as the clearer side, with one recent odds snapshot showing Germany heavily favoured over the draw and Côte d’Ivoire, which is consistent with a mid-range YES price rather than a near-certainty.[2] In that sort of setup, the probability often tracks expectations for lineups, goals and whether the game stays open enough for ancillary markets to be posted.

The key catalysts over the next few hours are squad announcements, any fitness updates, and whether broadcasters or organisers confirm coverage and logistics without delay. A recent preview notes US coverage on Fox and Telemundo, which matters because late broadcast and production confirmations often coincide with final market attention.[4] Traders should also watch for any FIFA or team channel updates on travel, rotation, or injuries, since those are the main drivers of whether additional betting lines are added before kick-off.[3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.