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France vs. Morocco - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "France vs. Morocco - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

France 1 - 0 Morocco 14% France 2 - 0 Morocco 13% France 1 - 1 Morocco 12% France 2 - 1 Morocco 11% Volume: $117K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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France vs. Morocco - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
14% 86% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
14% 86% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
France 1 - 0 Morocco14%
France 2 - 0 Morocco13%
France 1 - 1 Morocco12%
France 2 - 1 Morocco11%
Any Other Score11%
France 0 - 0 Morocco8%
France 3 - 0 Morocco8%
France 0 - 1 Morocco6%
France 3 - 1 Morocco6%
France 2 - 2 Morocco5%
France 1 - 2 Morocco4%
France 3 - 2 Morocco3%
France 0 - 2 Morocco2%
France 0 - 3 Morocco1%
France 1 - 3 Morocco1%
France 2 - 3 Morocco1%
France 3 - 3 Morocco1%

Market context

France vs. Morocco - Exact Score — current market-implied probability: 14%. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Morocco, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the France vs. Morocco match originally s…

Methodology

We track France vs. Morocco - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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