Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Ecuador’s draw with Curaçao has already reset the corners lens: the match finished 0-0, but Ecuador still generated sustained pressure, and match reports record 8 Ecuador corners to Curaçao’s 0. ESPN and Sky Sports both note Eloy Room’s 15 saves, which points to a game state where Ecuador spent long spells attacking, even without converting that territorial edge into goals.[4][9]
For corner markets, that is a useful reminder that low scoring does not automatically mean low corners. A team that dominates possession, shoots often, and forces blocks can still clear a modest corners line; in this case, Ecuador had 74.8% possession, 28 shots and 15 on target in the Reddit match thread, while Curaçao offered little attacking volume of its own.[5] That makes a 0% crowd price on YES look like an overreaction to the final scoreline rather than a clean read on chance creation.
The main catalysts now are whether the market is settling off the completed match data, and whether any corrected official stats update the corners count before the settlement window closes. Fox Sports has already carried post-match clips describing the draw as a notable result for Curaçao, which suggests the result itself is no longer in doubt, so the live issue for traders is statistical classification rather than team news or schedule flow.[3][6]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $436K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Ecuador vs. Curaçao - Total Corners on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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