Colombia vs. DR Congo - Exact Score

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Market context

Colombia and DR Congo face off tonight in Guadalajara for a pivotal Group K World Cup match, with kick-off set at 10:00 PM ET. The crowd-implied 10% probability for an exact score outcome has shifted slightly in the last 24 hours as DR Congo’s morale surged following their shock 1-1 draw with Portugal, while Colombia’s Opta supercomputer simulations still favour a 58% win rate for the South Americans[1]. This is the first men’s international encounter between these sides, meaning historical exact-score precedents are absent; traders should instead frame the 10% probability against comparable Group-stage matches where a strong favourite (like Colombia) meets a resilient underdog (like DR Congo) that has already scored at the World Cup[1][3]. In such scenarios, exact scores rarely exceed 8–12% unless defensive records are exceptional, and DR Congo’s first World Cup goal suggests they are less likely to be held to zero, compressing the exact-score window.

Traders must watch for two immediate catalysts: the official line-up announcements, expected within the next hour, and any in-match injury updates before the 10:00 PM ET start. Colombia’s Juan Camilo Hernandez and DR Congo’s Cedric Bakambu, both Real Betis teammates, are key attacking figures whose fitness could alter goal-scoring dynamics[7]. Additionally, monitor referee Maurizio Mariani’s early disciplinary actions, as his tendency for strict fouling could impact stoppage time and penalty chances[3]. DR Congo’s head coach Sébastien Desabre’s press conference highlighted tactical adjustments to exploit Colombia’s flattered 3-1 opener against Uzbekistan, suggesting a more aggressive approach than their Portugal draw[3][9]. With the settlement window ending 24 June 02:00 UTC, any postponement would keep the market open, but cancellation is unlikely given both teams’ qualification stakes[3]. The 2.5-goal combined score line from Fox Sports implies a tight contest, reinforcing the need to track pre-match odds for exact-score shifts[2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Colombia vs. DR Congo - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

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Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

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