Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

The FIFA World Cup Round of 32 clash between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway at Dallas Stadium tomorrow has seen market sentiment shift noticeably in the last 48 hours, with the crowd-implied probability for an exact 2-1 Norway victory now sitting at a tight 7%. This adjustment reflects a recalibration of Norway’s attacking threat, particularly as Erling Haaland enters the tournament in red-hot form, while Côte d'Ivoire’s defensive resilience following their group-stage collapse against Germany remains a key variable for traders assessing the final scoreline.

Historically, knockout-stage matches between debutants and established contenders often produce narrow margins, with the Opta supercomputer favouring a Norway win in 56.1% of its 25,000 simulations, yet the 21.6% chance for Côte d'Ivoire to prevail inside 90 minutes suggests this is no guaranteed rout. Comparable Round of 32 fixtures from recent World Cups show that exact scores like 2-1 or 1-2 account for roughly 18% of outcomes when a clear favourite faces a resilient underdog, framing the current 7% probability as plausible but requiring precise execution from Norway’s front line.

Traders should monitor Ståle Solbakken’s final press conference for any lineup tweaks and the confirmed starting XI release, as Haaland’s fitness and the availability of Côte d'Ivoire’s key defender Ousmane Diomande will directly influence the goal count. With the match scheduled for 1:00 PM ET tomorrow, the settlement window closing at 17:00 UTC on 30 June, and no extra time included, the market remains open only for the 90-minute result, making immediate pre-match news from sources like SportsMole critical for updating position sizes before the whistle.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.