Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Breel Embolo: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ assists | 100% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ shots on target | 100% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots on target | 100% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ shots | 99% |
| Gregor Kobel: 2+ saves | 77% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ shots | 52% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Noah Okafor: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Luca Zidane: 2+ saves | 51% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Noah Okafor: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Gregor Kobel: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Gregor Kobel: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Luca Zidane: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Luca Zidane: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ shots | 47% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ shots | 26% |
| Gregor Kobel: 4+ saves | 25% |
| Luca Zidane: 5+ saves | 25% |
| Adil Boulbina: 1+ shots | 24% |
| Noah Okafor: 2+ shots | 24% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ shots | 24% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 2+ shots | 10% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ shots | 1% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ assists | 1% |
| Adil Boulbina: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Adil Boulbina: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Adil Boulbina: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Noah Okafor: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Noah Okafor: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Noah Okafor: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Adil Boulbina: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Adil Boulbina: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Adil Boulbina: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Adil Boulbina: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Noah Okafor: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Noah Okafor: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Noah Okafor: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Adil Boulbina: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Adil Boulbina: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Adil Boulbina: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Noah Okafor: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Noah Okafor: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Melvin Mastil: 2+ saves | 0% |
| Melvin Mastil: 3+ saves | 0% |
| Melvin Mastil: 4+ saves | 0% |
| Melvin Mastil: 5+ saves | 0% |
Market context
Switzerland vs. Algeria - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 100%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Switzerland and Algeria, scheduled for July 2 at 11:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews Switzerland vs. Algeria - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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