Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Palestine and Kenya are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 6 June 2026 at 8:30 AM ET, with settlement contingent on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects 100% probability across all listed outcomes combined, suggesting traders are pricing in high certainty that the match will occur and conclude with a scoreline matching one of the predefined options rather than resolving to "Any Other Score."
Historical precedent for friendlies between lower-ranked nations shows considerable volatility in scorelines. Palestine (currently ranked outside the top 100 by FIFA) and Kenya (ranked approximately 110th) have limited recent head-to-head history, but comparable matches between nations at similar competitive levels typically produce 1–2 goal margins. The 2–1 and 2–0 outcomes have historically been modal results in such fixtures, though scoreless draws occur in roughly 15–20% of friendlies involving teams in this ranking band. The concentration of probability across multiple specific scores rather than toward "Any Other Score" reflects confidence in the match proceeding as scheduled.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmations from both football associations through early June, as international friendlies occasionally shift dates or venues with minimal notice. Weather conditions in the scheduled location and squad availability announcements—particularly any late withdrawals due to injury or club commitments—could influence tactical approach and expected goal output. The settlement window closes at 12:30 UTC on 6 June, allowing only a narrow window post-match for resolution confirmation.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $291K.
Methodology
This page reviews Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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