Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Hungary (-1.5) | 100% Hungary | 0% Kazakhstan |
| Kazakhstan (-1.5) | 0% Kazakhstan | 100% Hungary |
| Hungary (-2.5) | 0% Hungary | 100% Kazakhstan |
| Kazakhstan (-2.5) | 0% Kazakhstan | 100% Hungary |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Hungary and Kazakhstan are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 9 June at 1:00 PM ET, with the market currently pricing additional betting markets on the fixture at 100% probability. The match sits within UEFA's June international window, a period when friendlies typically proceed as scheduled unless last-minute withdrawals or force majeure events intervene. Both nations have confirmed squad participation in recent days, with no public indication of cancellation or postponement as of the settlement window opening.
International friendlies at this stage of the calendar rarely fail to materialise once fixture lists are published and broadcast arrangements finalised. Historical precedent suggests that 100% pricing reflects the administrative certainty of the match occurring rather than any underlying uncertainty about kickoff. Comparable June friendlies across UEFA nations have proceeded at rates exceeding 99% when similarly close to the scheduled date. The only material disruptions in recent years have involved geopolitical crises or widespread injury epidemics affecting squad availability—neither currently evident for either Hungary or Kazakhstan.
Traders should monitor official UEFA communications and team news through 8 June for any squad withdrawal announcements, though such developments would be extraordinary at this juncture. Broadcast confirmation from major outlets and final team sheets released 24 hours before kickoff will serve as practical validation. The settlement window closes at 17:00 on match day, allowing confirmation once the fixture either commences or is formally cancelled by governing bodies.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $690K.
Methodology
This page reviews Hungary vs. Kazakhstan - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Hungary vs. Kazakhstan - More Markets on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Today →