Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Cabo Verde (-1.5) | 100% Cabo Verde | 0% Bermuda |
| Bermuda (-1.5) | 0% Bermuda | 100% Cabo Verde |
| Cabo Verde (-2.5) | 100% Cabo Verde | 0% Bermuda |
| Bermuda (-2.5) | 0% Bermuda | 100% Cabo Verde |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Cabo Verde will face Bermuda in a FIFA International Friendly on 6 June at 4:00 PM ET, with the market currently pricing a 90% likelihood that additional betting markets will become available for this fixture. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC the same day, giving traders roughly sixteen hours after kick-off to assess whether supplementary markets have opened on major platforms.
The 90% probability reflects standard practice for friendlies involving smaller football nations. Historically, matches between lower-ranked confederations—particularly CONCACAF and CAF sides—have seen variable market coverage depending on broadcast availability and operator appetite. Bermuda's recent friendlies against regional opponents have typically attracted limited secondary markets beyond match result and total goals, whilst Cabo Verde's fixtures show similarly sparse additional offerings. The high crowd probability suggests traders expect this match to follow that pattern rather than receive expanded coverage.
Key variables include whether either nation's federation announces the fixture on official channels in the coming days, which could prompt operator interest, and whether the match receives television distribution in major markets. Broadcast confirmation often triggers market expansion, particularly if the game airs on ESPN+ or regional sports networks. The tight settlement window means any market additions must occur swiftly after the final whistle, making real-time monitoring essential for traders seeking to capture movement in the final hours before the deadline.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $276K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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