Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Colombia (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Costa Rica (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Colombia (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Costa Rica (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Colombia and Costa Rica are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 1 June at 7:00 PM ET. The market currently reflects 100% probability that additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture, suggesting traders view the event as sufficiently high-profile to warrant expanded market coverage. No material developments have shifted this assessment in the past 48 hours; the fixture remains confirmed and scheduled as planned.
The 100% reading aligns with precedent for international friendlies involving CONMEBOL and CONCACAF nations. FIFA International Friendlies involving established federations typically do generate supplementary markets beyond basic match outcomes—including player performance props, corner totals, and card markets—particularly when fixtures involve nations with substantial betting interest. Historical patterns show that friendlies between Colombia and Costa Rica, both with established supporter bases and regular media coverage, have previously attracted expanded market offerings from major sportsbooks.
Traders should monitor official fixture confirmation from CONMEBOL and CONCACAF in the days preceding 1 June, as any late postponement would directly affect market expansion decisions. Sportsbook announcements regarding market availability typically arrive 48–72 hours before kickoff, though major operators often signal intent earlier. Team sheet releases and injury updates from both federations could influence whether certain player-specific markets materialise, though these would not prevent broader market expansion. The settlement window closing at 23:00 GMT on 1 June allows for market confirmation well after the fixture concludes.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $380K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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