Switzerland vs. Jordan - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Switzerland and Jordan are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 31 May at 9:00 AM ET. The 100% YES probability reflects near-certainty that additional markets will be created for this fixture, though the match itself remains subject to standard cancellation risks inherent to friendlies scheduled nearly eighteen months ahead.

Historical precedent suggests that major prediction platforms routinely expand market offerings for international football matches, particularly those involving established national teams. Switzerland's consistent participation in competitive tournaments and Jordan's rising profile in Asian qualifiers have both attracted sustained market interest. Previous friendly fixtures between comparable sides have typically spawned secondary markets within 48–72 hours of the primary outcome market opening, though the timing and scope depend on platform discretion and trader demand thresholds.

The settlement window closes on 31 May at 13:00 UTC, giving traders a narrow four-hour window post-match to resolve any derivative markets. Traders should monitor whether either nation announces squad changes, injuries to key players, or fixture postponements—developments that could alter platform appetite for expanding the market suite. Fixture confirmation typically arrives 10–14 days before kickoff through official FIFA or national federation channels. The absence of major tournament scheduling conflicts in late May reduces cancellation likelihood, though friendly matches remain vulnerable to diplomatic or logistical disruptions with minimal notice.

Methodology

We track Switzerland vs. Jordan - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.