Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Canada (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Uzbekistan (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Canada (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Uzbekistan (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Canada and Uzbekistan are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 1 June at 9:00 PM ET, with the market currently priced at 100% YES for additional betting markets to be offered. The settlement window closes 2 June at 01:00 UTC, giving a narrow window for the underlying match to conclude and secondary markets to materialise. The 100% crowd probability reflects near-certainty that major sportsbooks will expand their offerings beyond standard match-result and goal-total bets once the fixture kicks off.
Historical precedent suggests friendlies between nations outside the top-tier competitive calendar do attract supplementary markets, though not universally. UEFA and CONCACAF fixtures typically generate expanded betting menus—prop bets on first goalscorer, corner counts, and card accumulations—within hours of kickoff. However, lower-profile friendlies occasionally see minimal market expansion, particularly if one side fields a significantly weakened squad or if the match carries limited commercial interest. Canada's recent competitive focus on World Cup qualification and Uzbekistan's regional standing mean this fixture sits in a middle ground where sportsbook appetite for additional markets is plausible but not guaranteed.
The critical catalyst is whether major operators deem the match commercially viable for extended offerings. Fixture timing at 9:00 PM ET places it during peak North American trading hours, which typically encourages market proliferation. Confirmation of squad sheets and any late injury announcements in the 24 hours before kickoff could influence whether bookmakers commit resources to secondary markets. Traders should monitor sportsbook activity from established operators on 31 May and 1 June morning for signals of market expansion intent.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $238K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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