Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Cambodia (-1.5) | 100% Cambodia | 0% Hong Kong SAR |
| Hong Kong SAR (-1.5) | 0% Hong Kong SAR | 100% Cambodia |
| Cambodia (-2.5) | 0% Cambodia | 100% Hong Kong SAR |
| Hong Kong SAR (-2.5) | 0% Hong Kong SAR | 100% Cambodia |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Cambodia and Hong Kong SAR are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 9 June at 8:00 AM ET. The 100% probability reflects the fixture's confirmed status on both national football associations' calendars, with no reported cancellations or postponements in the past 48 hours. The match forms part of pre-tournament preparation cycles, though neither team has major competitive obligations immediately following this window.
Historical precedent suggests friendlies between lower-ranked Asian sides rarely face last-minute withdrawals once officially announced. Cambodia (ranked 194th by FIFA) and Hong Kong (ranked 126th) have both participated consistently in scheduled friendlies over the past two years, with fixture completion rates above 95%. Cancellations typically stem from security incidents, extreme weather, or diplomatic friction—none of which have surfaced regarding this pairing. The high probability reflects this baseline reliability rather than exceptional circumstances.
Traders should monitor official statements from the Cambodia Football Federation and Hong Kong Football Association through early June for any squad availability issues or venue changes. Weather forecasts for the match location become relevant only if the fixture is relocated to an unfamiliar venue. Recent fixture history shows both nations have prioritised friendly commitments to maintain competitive rhythm, reducing the likelihood of strategic withdrawal. Any announcement regarding player injuries affecting squad depth would be the primary catalyst for market movement, though such developments rarely trigger match cancellations outright.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $154K.
Methodology
This page reviews Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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