Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Team Spirit | 0% Enjoy |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Team Spirit and Enjoy are locked in a live Upper Bracket quarterfinal at The International 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, with the match currently underway on Map 1 as of 5 PM UTC. The crowd-implied 100% YES probability for Team Spirit to win reflects their dominant recent form, having secured four victories in their last five matches and winning 66% of games over the past three months[2]. This level of certainty is not uncommon in elite qualifiers when a top-tier squad faces an opponent with minimal recent competitive exposure; similar cases in TI regional qualifiers have seen odds swing to near-100% when a historically strong team like Team Spirit enters with a 64% win rate over 146 matches[2][6].
Traders should monitor the live score progression and official tournament updates, as the match is already in progress with Team Spirit leading 35–17 in the first map[1]. Any delay beyond seven days without a winner, a tie, or cancellation would reset the market to 50–50, though such outcomes are rare in active BO3s[1]. The next scheduled appearance for Team Spirit is listed as 14:00 UTC today against Enjoy, confirming the match’s continuity[2]. For real-time verification, refer to the live score feed on hawk.live, which tracks map time and kill counts[1]. No external announcements are pending, but traders must watch for any stream interruptions or official disqualifications that could alter the result.
Methodology
We track Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Enjoy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Enjoy (BO3) - The Internation… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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