Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
TYLOO and Lynn Vision are set to clash in the BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs grand final today, with the market pricing a 100% chance of a TYLOO victory. This certainty is stark given Lynn Vision’s historical dominance in the matchup, having won 60% of their 10 recorded CS2 encounters and 71% of their 38 total matches across formats, including a 6-2 record in the last 12 months [6]. The current probability mirrors scenarios where a team forfeits or faces severe roster instability rather than a competitive contest; notably, TYLOO previously forfeited a match against Lynn Vision at the Yuqilin LAN event, a disruption that often skews market pricing toward the non-forfeiting side or creates 50-50 settlements if unresolved [3].
Traders must monitor the official BLAST.tv match status page and team social channels for any confirmation of a forfeit, roster change, or delay beyond the seven-day resolution window, as these are the only catalysts that could invalidate the 100% YES price [2]. While TYLOO recently secured a 2-0 victory over Lynn Vision at the IEM Cologne Major 2026, that result occurred in a different tournament stage and does not guarantee a repeat in this specific BO3 playoff format [2]. The primary dependency remains the match’s commencement; if the game begins but is not completed with a winner determined, the market resolves to 50-50, making the pre-match confirmation of both teams’ readiness the critical variable for the settlement [2].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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