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Counter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: REGAIN (-1.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+1.5) 100% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: REGAIN (-1.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: regain (-3.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: regain (-3.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+3.5)99%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: regain (-9.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+9.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: regain (-6.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+6.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: regain (-12.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+12.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: CCE (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Chicken Coop Esports (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Chicken Coop Esports (-6.5) vs regain (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: regain (-6.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+6.5)0%

Market context

Regain and Chicken Coop Esports are due to meet in a lower-bracket BO3 in the StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier playoffs, with live listings still showing the match as not yet completed. The key change over the last 24–48 hours is simply that the fixture has moved into the scheduled playoff slot, while the market is already pricing a 100% chance of a regain result, so the current view assumes the match either has not been materially contested yet or that the pricing has fully locked onto one side.[1][2][9]

That confidence is not built on a broad sample, but the recent head-to-head does matter: regain beat Chicken Coop Esports 2-1 in April 2026 in another BO3 playoff setting, which gives traders a direct comparator for the pairing.[7][5] More broadly, the tournament has been running across 28 July to early August, with the playoff bracket still active and other matches feeding through the same schedule, so form, map vetoes and bracket progression remain the right lens rather than any season-long team narrative.[2][3][8]

For today’s outlook, the main catalysts are procedural rather than structural: whether the match starts on time, whether the bracket is confirmed as lower-bracket round 1, and whether any schedule slips appear in tournament listings or live-score feeds.[2][9] The market’s 50-50 fallback only becomes relevant if the match is cancelled, ends without a winner, or is delayed by more than seven days, so the practical watchpoint is confirmation from official or tracked scheduling rather than team strength alone.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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