Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
PARIVISION are due to face Lynn Vision in the lower-bracket semi-final at the CS Asia Championships Group B, with the match still scheduled as a best-of-three. The market is already fully priced to PARIVISION at 100% YES, which leaves little room for a conventional upset view unless there is a late format or scheduling change. The game page and tournament listings indicate this is part of the group-stage elimination path, where the loser is out and the winner advances to the next qualification step.
That near-certainty is best read against the event’s broader group-stage structure rather than the teams’ headline names. CS Asia Championships 2026 uses double-elimination groups, with opening matches in best-of-one and the remaining group matches in best-of-three, so lower-bracket fixtures tend to be more stable than early-round coin flips. Liquipedia lists the group stage as running from 20–22 May, while Escharts notes the playoffs follow on 23–24 May, which means the match should be completed within the normal window if it proceeds as planned. Lynn Vision’s earlier elimination match against Ninjas in Pyjamas also shows this group has already reached its knockout phase.
The main catalysts now are practical rather than competitive: whether the fixture stays on schedule, whether the bracket is updated after earlier results, and whether any administrative issue forces a delay or walkover. PGL’s broadcast listings and match pages are the cleanest live indicators; the YouTube schedule already places Lynn Vision in the day’s group-stage slate, which supports the current timing. If the match is postponed beyond the settlement threshold, or not played at all, the market’s 50-50 fallback clause becomes relevant, but absent that, the path still points to PARIVISION.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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