Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 55% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 51% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: ECHO (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-6.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-9.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+9.5) | 50% |
| Match Winner | 29% |
| Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-9.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-6.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Nuclear TigeRES meet ECHO in a best-of-three decider in StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group D, with the market still showing a 0% crowd-implied YES price despite the fixture being live today. The key change in the last 24–48 hours is that these sides have already played a recent qualifier meeting, and that result cuts against the market’s initial leaning: ECHO won 2–0 on 22 July, which is the most relevant fresh form line for reading the rematch.[4][5]
That earlier match matters because it was not a narrow series and the maps were decisive, suggesting ECHO have already found a workable edge in the matchup. Comparable short-interval rematches in qualifiers usually price off the most recent head-to-head plus any bracket context, so a 0% YES line is best read as either stale, thinly traded, or highly dependent on late confirmation rather than as a strong opinion on Nuclear TigeRES itself.[4][6]
For traders, the immediate catalysts are basic but important: confirmation the match actually starts on schedule, whether the BO3 remains intact, and any last-minute bracket or admin changes from StarLadder. If the match is delayed, rescheduled, or not played, settlement can shift away from a normal win/loss outcome, and if it begins but is not completed, map score and official ruling become decisive. The closest live reference point remains the 22 July result and the fact that this market opened only recently, so any update in official match status or line-up news is likely to matter more than older tournament history.[4][5][6]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ECHO (BO3) - Star… on Prediction Today
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