Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Inner Circle Esports and Sharks in the Super DraculaN Group A, scheduled to begin at 08:00 ET today. In the last 24 hours, market sentiment has tightened to a precise 50-50 split, reflecting the immediate uncertainty after Inner Circle’s narrow 2-1 victory over Sharks in the BC Masters Championship Lower Bracket Semi-Final just weeks prior [2]. That previous encounter saw Inner Circle lose Mirage 9-13 before dominating Anubis 13-4 and clinching Overpass 16-14, a result that propelled the Ukrainian squad from rank #48 to #43 while dropping the Brazilian side from #41 to #45 [2].

Historical precedents for teams meeting in back-to-back bracket stages often favour the side with the freshest momentum, yet the 50% price suggests traders view the map-specific vulnerabilities as equally weighted. In similar CS2 scenarios where a team won a tight decider only days before a rematch, the market frequently oscillates until the first map is played, as the psychological edge from the previous win can be negated by tactical adjustments [2]. The current probability mirrors the Robinhood market pricing, where Inner Circle sits at 51¢ and Sharks at 49¢, indicating a near-perfect equilibrium [3].

Traders should monitor the live map veto and the immediate post-match roster announcements, as any delay beyond the scheduled 08:00 ET start could trigger the 50-50 settlement clause if unresolved within seven days [1]. The primary catalyst is the map selection, particularly whether Inner Circle can replicate their Anubis dominance or if Sharks will exploit the Mirage weakness that previously cost them the series [2]. No major roster changes have been announced since the BC Masters, but the EGamersWorld schedule confirms the match is set for a Best of 3 format today at 11:00 local time, with the settlement window closing at 21:00 UTC on June 24 [4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.