Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B

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Market context

Esport Academy Copenhagen lost their Upper bracket semifinal 2 match against Walczaki in the Super DraculaN Group B, with Walczaki securing a decisive 2-0 victory in just 58 minutes. The match, originally scheduled for 8:00 AM EDT on June 24, concluded with Walczaki winning both maps 13-8 and 13-11, leaving Copenhagen with no chance to advance. This result has driven the crowd-implied probability for Copenhagen winning to 0%, as the outcome is now verified by HLTV and Gamers World[1].

Historically, when a team loses a BO3 match 2-0 in an Upper bracket semifinal, their probability of winning the same match in any prediction market collapses to zero, as the event is resolved and no replay occurs. Comparable cases from recent CS2 tournaments show that 2-0 losses in critical bracket matches result in immediate market closure with no ambiguity, mirroring the current 0% probability for Copenhagen[1]. Traders should note that similar outcomes in past CCT and Super DraculaN events led to identical market resolutions, confirming the reliability of this probability.

The primary catalyst for traders is the official verification of the match result, which has already been confirmed by HLTV and Gamers World[1]. No further announcements or schedule changes are expected, as the match is complete and the settlement window ends on June 24 at 15:00 UTC. Any dependencies, such as potential delays or cancellations, are irrelevant given the verified 2-0 result[1]. Traders should focus on the finality of the outcome rather than anticipating new developments, as the market has already resolved based on the confirmed scoreline.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.