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Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

Match Winner 66% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 52% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $371K Liquidity: $74K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner66%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.552%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-6.5) vs Sinners (+6.5)49%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 66% YES probability for Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between BetBoom Team and Sinners in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Be…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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