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Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Map 2 Winner 55% O/U 2.5 Games 51% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $152K Liquidity: $205K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 55% 45% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 55% 45% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner55%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs Heroic (+6.5)50%
Match Winner49%
Map 1 Winner40%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)27%
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)23%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B — current market-implied probability: 55%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Astralis and Heroic in the StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B, initially scheduled for July 24 at 12:00PM ET. This market …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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