Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: AM (-1.5) vs Falcons Force (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Falcons Force’s recent CCT run is the main reason this match has already been priced as a near-certainty, even though the market is still open. They have been active across the qualifier and group-stage pathway in Europe, with recent results and highlights circulating from the same event cluster, including wins over MANA and a tight BO3 against G2 Ares. That form matters here because Falcons Force have shown they can take maps off comparable mid-tier opposition, while AM Gaming have less visible recent reference form in the search results.
For traders, the key issue is whether the scheduled Round 2 fixture actually goes ahead on time and with the listed line-up. Liquipedia and Dust2.us both place CCT Season 3 Europe Series #2 and related matches in the current week, which supports the idea that this is part of a live, moving qualifier rather than a static event. Any change in start time, server delay, roster substitution or walkover would matter more than usual, because a non-played match or one pushed beyond the settlement window would flip the market away from a normal win/loss outcome.
The last 24-48 hours also suggest Falcons Force are being treated as an active team within the same bracket rather than as a separate name with no competitive continuity. That reduces the chance of a dead market caused by uncertainty over whether they will field. The main watchpoint is official bracket administration: if the organiser publishes a revised schedule, default, or forfeiture notice before the 14:00 UTC settlement point, that will determine whether the current 100% pricing remains justified or is effectively a placeholder for an administrative outcome.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Falcons Force (BO3) - C… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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