Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike 2 Best of 3 match between ALKA and Red Feet in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, which concluded on 30 June 2026 with Red Feet winning 2–1. The market currently shows a 0% chance for ALKA to win, reflecting the verified outcome that Red Feet secured the victory after the match was originally scheduled for 12:00 PM EDT on that date[1][2].

Historically, markets that retain a 0% probability post-settlement are not anomalies but direct reflections of confirmed results where the outcome is mutually verified by HLTL and Gamers World[1]. Comparable cases in esports prediction markets show that once a match result is finalised and cross-verified, the probability for the losing side collapses to zero, as seen when Strafe users overwhelmingly predicted ALKA to win with 83.3% of votes before the match ended 1–2 in favour of Red Feet[2].

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any potential rescheduling or cancellation clauses, though the match has already been completed and the result verified. Recent coverage from Dust2.us confirms the match took place on 30 June 2026 at 09:00 AM as part of the CCT 2026 South America Series 3, with no indication of delay beyond the seven-day threshold that would trigger a 50–50 resolution[4]. The settlement window ending 22:15 UTC on 30 June 2026 has passed, confirming the market is resolved to Red Feet.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.