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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $187K Liquidity: $272K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs INOX Division (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-6.5) vs INOX Division (+6.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-9.5) vs INOX Division (+9.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs INOX Division (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-9.5) vs INOX Division (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs INOX Division (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-6.5) vs INOX Division (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-9.5) vs INOX Division (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%

Market context

The quarter-final between 1WIN and INOX Division is live or imminently due, and the market’s 100% crowd-implied YES is being set against a match that has already been slotted into the NODWIN Clutch Series playoffs window. Current listings place the fixture in a BO3 knockout context on 5 August, with live coverage pages and stream listings showing it as a scheduled playoff match rather than an open-ended event.[1][2][6][8]

The main historical frame is straightforward: these sides have already met in the summer, with 1WIN beating INOX Division 2-1 in a June playoff series, which is the cleanest recent head-to-head reference point.[3][5] More broadly, 1WIN’s recent NODWIN playoff record is stronger than INOX Division’s, with 1WIN winning the NODWIN Clutch Series #8 title in May, while INOX Division have also taken some playoff maps and series in the same circuit, including a 2-1 win over Betclic and a 2-1 win over SPARTA, so the favourite tag is real but not absolute.[11][14][15]

For traders, the immediate catalysts are simple: whether the match goes ahead on schedule, whether the official bracket and stream stay aligned, and whether there is any late roster or timing change before map veto starts.[1][2][6][8] Because the settlement rules treat a cancelled, tied, or over-seven-day delay as 50-50, the key risk is not just who wins but whether the fixture is completed under official tournament conditions; the market should stay pinned unless there is a disruption to the live playoff schedule or an unexpected administrative outcome.[6][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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