Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs India - Who wins the toss? | 0% South Africa | 100% India |
| ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs India | 95% South Africa | 6% India |
| ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs India - Completed match? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
South Africa and India are into their **group-stage meeting** with the semi-final picture still live, so the main change over the last day is that every result now carries direct qualification weight rather than just momentum. India have arrived with a perfect record in the tournament, while South Africa are also in the chase after a competitive opening phase, which is why the market should be read as a live clash between two sides that have both already shown they can handle pressure.[3][4]
Recent comparable meetings tilt the reading away from a one-sided contest. In April’s South Africa tour of India, the sides produced a series of close T20s, and South Africa won the third match by nine wickets after chasing 193, while the hosts also suffered a 23-run defeat in the wider South Africa-India women’s series in Benoni earlier in the cycle.[2][1] That history suggests the pre-match pricing should remain sensitive to toss, conditions and early batting wicket clusters rather than to any simple home-or-away narrative.[1][2]
For traders, the immediate catalysts are the final team sheets, the toss, and any weather or schedule updates that could affect overs or DLS outcomes, especially in a World Cup group game where points are valuable and a reduced-overs match can change expected volatility. The fixture is listed for Manchester on 21 June 2026, with the ICC match preview already live and the ESPNcricinfo scorecard as the settlement reference if the game is completed normally or via an on-field tiebreak.[4][6]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $353K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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